Reform’s Union Surge Strikes at the Heart of Labour’s Old Power Base

Labour’s worst nightmare is no longer theoretical. Reform is not only leading nationally and outperforming even a potential Andy Burnham-led Labour Party, but is now breaking into the trade union base Labour once treated as its natural territory. Michael Heaver looks at new research showing Reform still ahead even if Burnham replaced Keir Starmer, with Labour projected to lose 252 seats under that scenario. He also highlights polling among trade union members, where Labour has dropped sharply and now sits level with Reform at 28% each. Even more damaging for Labour, Reform is ahead among Unite and GMB members, while Nigel Farage is rated the most popular party leader among union members and the top choice for prime minister.